The situation in America is extraordinary. Never before in
American politics have there been two candidates who were quite so disliked.
Whatever happens on voting day, it is unlikely that the
winner will get in because of votes cast by people who want them to be
President; it seems more likely that most votes will come from those who are
voting against the other candidate being elected.
Voting is supposed to be when you vote for someone you want
to win. But in this case, it is the lesser of two evils. Personally I think
Clinton is marginally less likely to
mess up America than Trump, but then what do I know: I thought the UK would see
sense and vote against Brexit.
People have likened Trump to Reagan. But Ronald Reagan was
Governor of California from 1967 to 1975. He had experience of power and
leadership, so that what he put in his election campaign could be seen as
achievable. Unlike Reagan, but like the Brexit campaigners, Trump has a series
of postures on political matters, but no detailed working out of how they might
work.
As for Hillary Clinton, she seems tainted by her time in
Washington. Unlike Nixon, misdemeanours seem to have broken out before she gets
to the White House, and while perhaps not quite condoning criminal actions in
the way Nixon did, she certainly strays very close to the line, and might have
indeed crossed it marginally.
That the American system should have managed to throw up two
candidates, who in comparison with the presidents of the past are pretty much
unelectable, suggests an election system that is broken, or damaged and in need
of urgent repair.
Whether that will happen is another matter. First past the
post in the UK has produced decades of elections where third parties gain
massive shares of the vote, but are relegated to the margins. The Brexit vote
shows what happens when you do that to voters, and they finally have the chance
to inflict damage, especially to the notion of safe seats where voters’ voices
are regularly disenfranchised. If Trump succeeds, it will be because of those same
kinds of disaffected voters wanting to hit out, and at last finding a candidate
who fits the bill.
But like Brexit, this will bring increased uncertainty, as
there really are no clear policy objectives: Trump just says anything populist
to get elected, just as the Brexit campaigners peddles all kinds of lies.
Unfortunately, as the UK discovered, what you want and what you will get are two different things altogether, and – to paraphrase Donne – no nation is an island, politicially, even if geographically that might be true.
Unfortunately, as the UK discovered, what you want and what you will get are two different things altogether, and – to paraphrase Donne – no nation is an island, politicially, even if geographically that might be true.
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