Election Guesses

Here are my election guesses.

These are guesses for who will be a "front runner", who will be second, and who is right at the bottom.

Please note that there are sometimes more "front runners" than seats. This is deliberate. I'm choosing those who I think stand a good chance of being elected, but not all of them can be! If I think they stand a fairly even chance, I'll list all those who will do so. I'm hedging my bets!

These are NOT endorsements of any candidates, just guesses as to who will get in

Names are also in alphabetical order by surname.

Senators (8 seats) 

Potential candidates who will go for Chief Minister if elected shown by *

Front Runners (9)
Simon Brée : Current Deputy of St Clement *
Lyndon Farnham : Current Senator *
Sarah Ferguson : Current Senator
Ian Gorst : Current Senator *
John Le Fondré : Current Deputy of St Lawrence *
Sam Mézec : Current Deputy of St Helier No 2 (Reform Jersey) *
Kristina Moore : Current Deputy of St Peter *
Steven Pallett : Current Connétable of St Brelade
Tracey Vallois : Current Deputy of St John

Close Runners-Up
Gerard Baudains : Previous States Member
Anthony Lewis : New Candidate
Moz Scott : New Candidate

The Last Post
Frank Luce : New Candidate
Philip Maguire : Previous Candidate
Stevie Ocean : Previous Candidate
Gordon Troy : New Candidate

The Twilight Zone
Gino Risoli : Previous Candidate

St Brelade No 2 (2 seats)
Front Runners (2)
Montfort Tadier : Current Deputy of St Brelade No 2 (Reform Jersey)
Graham Truscott : Current Deputy of St Brelade No 2

Seconds
Tony Pike : New Candidate
Garel Tucker : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)

St Clement (2 seats)
Front Runners (2)
Lindsay Ash : New Candidate
Susie Pinel : Current Deputy of St Clement

Seconds
Samantha Morrison : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)
Cloe Freeman : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)
Philip Renouf : New Candidate

St Helier No 1 (3 seats)
Front Runners (3)
Russell Labey : Current Deputy of St Helier No 1
Judy Martin : Current Deputy of St Helier No 1
Scott Wickenden : Current Deputy of St Helier No 1

Seconds
Jason Lagadu : New Candidate
Kelly Langdon : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)
Yann Mash : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)
John McNichol : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)

The Last Post
Nick Le Cornu : Previous States Member

St Helier No 2 (3 seats)
Front Runners (4)
Carina Alves : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)
Linda Dodds : New Candidate
Geoff Southern : Current Deputy of St Helier No 2 (Reform Jersey)
Rob Ward : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)

Seconds
Geraint Jennings : Previous Candidate
Bernard Manning : Previous Candidate

End of the Line
Barry Shelton : Previous Candidate

St Helier No 3 & 4 (4 seats)
Front Runners: (4)
Inna Gardiner : New Candidate
Mike Higgins : Current Deputy of St Helier No 3 & 4
Mary Le Hegarat : New Candidate
Julian Rogers : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)

Seconds:
Stephen Ahier : New Candidate
Mary Ayling-Philip : Previous Candidate (Reform Jersey)
Jacqui Carrel : New Candidate
Richard Rondel : Current Deputy of St Helier No 3 & 4
Anne Southern : Previous Candidate (Reform Jersey)

Puffin's Last Plaice:
Guy de Faye : Previous States Member

St John (1 seat)
Front Runner (1):
Trevor Pointon : New Candidate

Second:
Nigel Philpott : New Candidate

St Lawrence (2 seats)
Front Runners (2):
Gregory Guida : New Candidate (probably top poll)
Kirsten Morel : New Candidate

Second
Sarah Westwater : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)

St Mary (1 seat)
Front Runners (1):
Robert Johnson : Current Deputy of St Mary 

Second:

Mark Baker : New Candidate

St Ouen (1 seat)
Front Runner (1):
Richard Renouf : Current Deputy of St Ouen

Falling off the Cliff
Cliff Le Clercq : Previous Candidate

St Peter (1 seat)
Front Runner:
Rowland Huelin : New Candidate

Second:
Sean Creavy : New Candidate

St Saviour No 1 (2 seats)
Front Runners (2):
Jeremy Maçon : Current Deputy of St Saviour No 1
Kevin Pamplin : New Candidate

Seconds:
Isabella Lewis : Previous Candidate
Fiona O’Sullivan : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)

St Saviour No 2 (2 seats)
Front Runners (2):
Louise Doublet : Current Deputy of St Saviour No 2
Kevin Lewis : Current Deputy of St Saviour No 2

Seconds:
Jaime Boylan : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)

St Saviour No 3 (1 seat)
Front Runners (4 and too difficult to choose, all good!)
Tom Coles : New Candidate (Reform Jersey)
Andrew Le Quesne : New Candidate
Mary O’Keefe-Burgher : Previous Candidate
Jess Perchard : New Candidate

Trinity (1 seat)
Front Runner (1):
Hugh Raymond : Previous Candidate

Last Post:
David Richardson : Previous Candidate

St Mary
Anyone’s Guess (1):
Juliette Gallichan : Current Connétable of St Mary (just tipping ahead but not fly-tipping)
John Le Bailly : Previous States Member